Odds Makers: Colts That Good or Stupid Fans?

The Vegas odds are out on winning the Super Bowl this year. You guessed it, the Colts are 3-1. The next closest team is the Seachickens at 6-1. The Steelers are 5th at 9-1! How on Earth can the Colts be picked that high when Manning's playoff record is 3-6? He has proven time and time again, both in the pros and in college, that he CANNOT get it done when it matters most. The world (outside of Indy) will continue to have that opinion until something is done to change it. How the Colts treat defense fascinates me. The fact that they paid both WRs crazy money, let 2 defensive starters go, signed a kicker to the highest kicker contract in the league and then let Edge go is suspect to me, but what do I know? I think running the ball and defense wins championships, but again, what do I know? So, question 1 is this: Is Coach Dungy happy with those decisions based on his penchant for defense? Would he speak out if he wasn't happy? Question 2: Are the odds 3-1 because the oddsmakers know the Colts fans will jump all over that "easy money" only to be shattered in the playoffs once again by the Stillers or Pats? Question 3: Is this the Barry Bonds effect football equivalent? People want homeruns! If the Colts score 42 points a game, their fans will be happy to keep racking up huge numbers in the regular season and then they are too "good-natured" to demand accountability in the end (kind of like their coach). Don't get me wrong - I'm not a hater. I enjoy watching the Colts play, especially at the beginning of last season when they were winning close low scoring games. I just think if they would have kept their 2 defenders, not signed the kicker, and taken a defensive player in the first round of the draft they would have been better off, but what do I know? This would be my serious question to the Colt's front office: I'm assuming Edge was let go and the WRs were kept because with their spread offense, their RB is never going to face 8-9 guys in the box. He might not even face 7! I should be able to run the ball for the Colts. Anytime Edge was hurt, the replacements did better than fine. So, why not take a RB later in the draft like the Broncos always do? I think Manning's success had more to do with Edge's success than most people realize. I think they wasted their pick this year. Time will tell. He might rush for 140 yards per game, but didn't their backups do the same thing when Edge was hurt? 3-1? Wow. Consider the Steelers feeling good and disrespected going into camp. Cowher is smiling ear-to-ear over that number. He likes a pissed-off team.